MLEO

Supervised Machine Learning Energy Consumption

Supervised Machine Learning Energy Consumption is a proof of concept of an AI-driven forecasting system to help save energy, cut costs, and improve comfort. Starting with Long Wing 1 of NATO Headquarters, it is designed to scale across NATO facilities and extend into prescriptive models for automated optimization.

Today, the HVAC system (heating, cooling, ventilation) operates in a reactive way, it responds only after conditions change. This is costly, less efficient, and sometimes overcompensates, wasting energy and straining equipment.

ACT Innovation built a predictive intelligence layer on top of the existing system. Using building sensor data, weather forecasts, and occupancy patterns, we trained AI models to forecast comfort (temperature & humidity) and energy needs ahead of time.

Predictive Models

AI models that forecast future temperature and humidity across the building.

Enthalpy-Based Savings Screening

Hour-by-hour cooling/heating opportunity estimates using moist-air enthalpy derived from the T/RH forecasts, to size potential savings before any control changes.

Scenario Engine Outputs

Side-by-side results for Baseline, Max-Optimum (theoretical), Smooth (feasible), and Scenarios (incremental setpoint tweaks) with comfort and enthalpy-proxy KPIs.

Comparative Analysis Report

Side-by-side comparison of current vs. predicted optimized scenarios (comfort + enthalpy-proxy) in 2024.

Validated Dataset & Documentation

Cleaned datasets, data dictionary, and model/feature documentation for reproducibility.

Project Execution Report

Methods, assumptions, results, and next-step recommendations (including the pathway to future calibrated energy modeling).

The optimizations the model brings are expected to have a financial and sustainability impact in the Operation and Maintenance of the NATO Headquarters, as well as improving the occupant well-being.

Additionally, the methodologies and technologies employed for this project can serve as a foundation for similar energy optimization projects across other NATO buildings.